Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 216.616367 243.467395 273.139804 308.500883 349.672862 396.312806 453.449048
2025-04-06 174.848088 210.063004 252.353759 307.437898 378.107048 466.852644 588.540018
2025-04-13 146.325066 183.112071 229.630077 293.753473 381.424498 499.473394 674.655683
2025-04-20 134.882062 174.836684 227.683657 304.295922 415.274548 574.723537 829.942037
2025-04-27 126.798448 169.416052 228.031309 316.878475 452.465679 659.276467 1014.895161
2025-05-04 116.826371 159.975375 221.246298 317.615608 471.290503 718.061166 1170.058039
2025-05-11 106.256854 148.453460 209.965594 309.738117 474.856926 751.977481 1288.489660
2025-05-18 97.719665 139.024066 200.687698 303.571272 479.814632 788.189059 1417.902943
2025-05-25 93.813561 136.117983 200.937637 312.508093 511.138108 875.496899 1666.906836
2025-06-01 88.288950 130.190994 195.788675 311.674517 524.819312 931.992602 1865.581647
2025-06-08 82.427527 123.241576 188.326978 305.931232 528.500829 969.275732 2030.613179
2025-06-15 78.368323 118.853591 184.659070 306.393842 543.811649 1032.411710 2273.162364
2025-06-22 73.325151 112.601508 177.523035 300.153117 545.842389 1069.395048 2465.823992
2025-06-29 69.547762 108.200471 173.224900 298.783038 557.660614 1130.458813 2742.971742
2025-07-06 64.263757 100.889963 163.266874 285.591697 542.986836 1128.072364 2841.288106
2025-07-13 62.984329 100.340021 165.239623 295.771461 579.807803 1255.186043 3369.733744
2025-07-20 62.038530 100.284013 168.066295 307.919425 622.841804 1407.450090 4045.118569
2025-07-27 59.612473 97.429268 165.472438 308.630960 639.644158 1495.090252 4539.758573
2025-08-03 56.321081 92.813137 159.223495 301.026236 635.594550 1524.996106 4835.622525
2025-08-10 53.481848 88.858795 153.971613 295.071832 634.819097 1564.286240 5187.943818
2025-08-17 52.547652 88.351506 155.344958 303.700476 671.829096 1723.200989 6122.829268
2025-08-24 50.611801 85.855020 152.617697 302.895731 684.424598 1810.773162 6794.440874
2025-08-31 48.300339 82.522020 147.998870 297.350608 683.693233 1855.927450 7291.886603